THE QUANT PHILOSOPHER
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Notes from engineering a life — decision-making, probability, and signal over noise.
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Jun 1, 2026 · 2m
Stop Overfitting Your Life
The same error that ruins a trading model ruins a life: mistaking noise for signal, and rebuilding everything around the last data point.
#decision-making
#statistics
May 24, 2026 · 2m
The Discipline of Changing Your Mind
Bayesian updating is not flip-flopping. It's the rule for moving your beliefs by exactly the weight of the evidence — no more, no less.
#probability
#decision-making